I am Lucifer
        DeMorte

(If you are in IME 4020, this is a topic for Dr. Young's side of the class.)

For this task you should deeply logically analyze this topic as described in the following prompt, and, when you have done that, only then write up a proper (minumum three page) Thesis Paper fully describing, clarifying, supporting, and defending what you presently think is the most logically supportable conclusion we can come to about this topic.(Three pages, double spaced, odf, .doc. .docx, .pdf, submit through Turnitin.com.)

Remember that a
thesis paper starts with your thesis, and does not have an introduction or a conclusion.

Is Our Universe PROVEN to be MOST LIKELY a Hologram?

Some people have the idea that we're probably all living in a computer simulation of a universe rather than an actual physical universe. Other people think this idea is wrong. Your task for this prompt is to figure out, as best you can if those who think we're all living in a computer simulation of a universe have proved it's probable we're all living in a computer simulation of a universe.

It may be impossible to prove, for certain, that we are not living in a simulation, just as it may be impossible to prove you're not dreaming, or that you're not in the matrix, or that solipcism is false. (If solipcism is true, then I exist, and you don't.)

So, figure out whether or not the people who believe we are in a simulation have proved that we are probably living in a simulation.

    To do this, you should:

         1. Find one argument in favor of the simulation hypothesis. ("Simpothesis.")

         2. Find one argument against the simpothesis.

         3. Figure out which argument is good and which argument is bad.

         4. After figuring all this stuff out, write a paper in which you:
            -- Put forward the conclusion of the good argument as your thesis
            -- Explain the good argument.
            -- Explain the bad argument.
            -- Explain what's wrong with the bad argument.

For my money, the best way to get into this topic is to discuss the trilemma argument described by philosopher Nick Bostrom. (I don't think that Bostrom himself believes that we're living in a simulation, but the trilemma he describes can be taken as the basis for an argument that we are most likely living in a simulation, so I'd like you to treat it as such.)

A good place to start would be Are We Living in a Computer Simulation? - PBS

And for more information, you might read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation_hypothesis


Some Background Information

Simulating 1 second of human brain activity takes 82,944 processors

I suggest you watch the movie The 13th Floor or the miniseries World on a Wire to get a feel for how this all might work.

Any discussion of this issue should take into account the following facts:

1. Based on what we know about possible future computers, it's very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very unlikely that anyone anywhere will ever have even a tiny fraction of the computing power needed to make even a moderate-scale, (13th Floor-type) long-term universe simulation.

2. If anyone ever does have this capacity, a universe simulation would be very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very expensive to create and maintain.

3. It's hard to see that any civilization would really want to spend enormous resources creating and maintaining a simulated universe.

4. If there actually was a need to create a simulated universe, there doesn't seem to be any reason why the simulators would bother with the enormous expense of giving consciousness to the simulated people, since any knowledge we might want to learn from the simulation would seem to be achievable with less-expensive nonconscious simulated beings that just behaved like people.

And remember, if all they can do is prove that it's possible that we're in a simverse, then they've completely failed to prove that we're probably in a simverse.

You can look for arguments on both sides in the following webpages:

Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?
www.simulation-argument.com/

‎Are You Living in a Simulation? - ‎The Simulation Argument FAQ
www.simulation-argument.com/simulation.html

Review of Bostrom's Simulation Argument

http://web.stanford.edu/class/symbsys205/BostromReview.html

Simulation hypothesis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation_hypothesis

Nick Bostrom - The Simulation Argument (Full) - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnl6nY8YKHs

Proof Of The Simulation Argument - US News
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/at-the-edge/2012/12/17/proof-of-the-simulation-argument

Older links.  (Some may be broken.)

Nick Bostrom's argument that we are living in a computer simulation,

http://www.livescience.com/25579-what-if-reality-was-really-just-sim-universe.html

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2011/07/hologram-universe/

Is The Universe A Computer Simulation? Physicist Martin Savage (HuffPost)

http://news.discovery.com/space/are-we-living-in-a-computer-simulation-2-121216.htm

http://www.messagetoeagle.com/simulatedlife.php#.VIkuajHF9MU

http://www.messagetoeagle.com/compsimulationtests.php#.VIkubjHF9MU

To get an emotional feel for the idea, you could find and watch the film The Thirteenth Floor

Bostrom doesn't mention the important fact that, if we made a simverse, it would not be us that were in inside the simverse. It would be digital copies of ourselves. Flesh-and-blood humans cannot be moved into a digital world. in theory, their minds can be copied, but those minds cannot be moved. If we made a simverse and put a copy of you into it, you would still be walking around in the world while the copy went about its digital business (unless they killed you.)

For a contrary view, watch The Simulation Hypothesis is Pseudoscience

If you still need a pro-simulation argument, here's my take on the "trilemma" argument:

1. At least one and perhaps many space civilizations will last long enough to develop technology capable of creating simulated uiverses containing computer-generated conscious beings.

2. At least one and perhaps many of those civilizations will last long enough to develop an interest in actually creating at least one and perhaps many simulated uiverses containing computer-generated conscious beings.

 3. At least one and perhaps many simulated universe civilizations will contain computer-generated conscious beings that will go on to create their own simulations containing computer-generated conscious beings in their simulated universe.

4. Pretty much every such simulation will contain beings that go on to create another simulation, which wil result in millions, or billions of sims inside sims inside sims inside sims  . . . . so that computer-generated conscious beings will soon vaaaaaaastly outnumber natural conscious beings.

5. As a result, the probability that any given conscious being is a natural being in an actual physical universeis vanishingly small, which means that you an I are most likely computer generated beings in a simulated universe.

I say this is an argument. I don't say it's a good argument <Added 9/17/26>


Make sure you follow all the advice and instructions in the Odyssey Instructions

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